Unit 4: Your Task
Scenario development requires a lot of work on the part of the local authority. Careful technical analyses - both quantitative and qualitative - need to be carried out to anticipate how certain mobility priorities will affect the future development of the city and its citizens. At the same time, as you have learned, these scenarios are meant to spark public discussion for the future development of mobility visions, priorities and goals. For this task, you are asked to:
- Examine the following excerpts of the West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan 2011-2026 and take a look at their scenario development process. These documents provide insight into the technical aspects of scenario development:
- An overview of their do-nothing scenario analysis (page 41)
- Appendix D Use of the Urban Dynamic Model in the Development of LTP3 (page 45-54 in PDF document) compares four potential packages of measures with what they call the 'do-minimum' scenario (also known as the business-as-usual scenario). It also analyses three options for the Implementation Plan 2011-2014
- Explore the two interactive scenarios presented on the Future Bristol project page. This website was created to invite the public's input after conducting comprehensive research for each of the scenarios.
- Answer the following questions:
- What do you like about the scenarios mentioned here? What would you like to see implemented in your own city?
- What are the benefits of scenario development? How can it help in informing decision making? What are the limitations of scenarios?
Note: This course looks at various existing SUMPs. We want to give you examples so that you get an impression how the final product of such a complex plan development process can look like. We neither promote these SUMPs as 'best-practice' examples, nor do the examples determine how an ideal SUMP should look like and what it should cover. They just serve as inspiration for you and aim to illustrate the content taught in the theory modules.
The course language is English so we only present SUMP that are available in the English language. This of course limits the number of plans to look at. However, if you are aware of an interesting example from your country, please do share this with the learning community in the news forum (even if it is in local language; you may want to add an explanatory note in your post)!